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CANADIAN LOCAL TELECOM SERVICES MARKET REPORT

 

 

1999 EDITION

For information on obtaining 
copies of this report 
call (416) 360-0424 
Fax us at (416) 360-7546 
Or send an email to:
msone@nbicanada.com


September 1999


 

Table Of Contents

Section Page
About This Report vi
1.0 Introduction 1
2.0 A Definition of Local Services 3
3.0 The Local Services Market Sized 6
3.1 Clarification and Definition 6
3.2 Overview 7
3.3 ILEC and CLEC Specifics 7
3.4 Growth Forecast 8
3.5 Lines and Revenues by Market Segment 9
4.0 The Regulatory Environment 17
4.1 The Groundwork 17
4.2 Telecom Decisions CRTC 97-8 and 
              97-9 – The Landmarks
17
4.2.1 97-8: Local Competition 17
4.2.2 97-9: Price Cap Regulation and 
                                 Related Issues
19
4.3 The CISC Process 19
4.4 Lingering Concerns 20
5.0 The Options and Economics of Competitive Local Services 23
5.1 Resale 23
5.2 Overwiring 24
5.3  Unbundled Local Loops 24
5.4 Wireless 26
5.4.1 Point-to-multipoint Wireless 27
5.4.2 Point-to-point Wireless 27
5.5 Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) 28
5.6 Internet Protocol (IP) Telephony 29
5.7 The Investment 29
6.0 Marketing Local Services in a Competitive Environment 31
6.1 The Public’s Perception of Competitive Local Services 31
6.2 Approach to Market Depends on the Starting Point 31
6.3 Products 34
6.4 Pricing 35
6.5 Customer Service 36
6.6 Bundling – A Panacea or Just Another Pricing Plan? 36
7.0 Corporate Profiles 39
7.1 The National Networks 40
7.1.1 AT&T Canada 43
7.1.2 TELUS: The ILEC and the CLEC 50
7.1.2.1 TELUS – The ILEC 52
7.1.2.2 TELUS – The CLEC 59
7.1.3 Bell Canada and its Extended Family 62
7.1.3.1 Bell Canada 66
7.1.3.2 Bell Nexxia 75
7.1.3.3 Aliant 77
7.1.3.4 MTS 82
7.1.3.5 SaskTel 87
7.1.3.6 Intrigna 92
7.1.4 Sprint Canada 95
7.2 The Start-ups 102
7.2.1 C1 Communications 103
7.2.2 Cannect Communications 106
7.2.3 Combined Telecom Inc. (CTI) 109
7.2.4 Futureway Communications 112
7.2.5 Gateway Telephone 115
7.2.6 GT Group Telecom Services 118
7.2.7 ISP Telecom 121
7.2.8 Maskatel 124
7.2.9 Navitar Communications 126
7.2.10 Novus Telecom 128
7.2.11 Optel Communications 131
7.2.12 PUC of the City of Brockville 134
7.2.13 Sun Rivers Development 138
7.2.14 Vancouver Telephone Company (VTC Canada) 140
7.2.15 Wispra Tel 142
7.2.16 Briefly Noted 145
7.3 The Cable Guys 148
7.3.1 Cogeco Cable Systems 152
7.3.2 EastLink 154
7.3.3 Regional Cablesystems 156
7.3.4 Rogers Cablesystems 158
7.3.5 Shaw Cablesystems 161
7.3.6 Vid?tron Communications 163


List Of Exhibits And Figures

Exhibit Page
1 Local Access Lines by Province 
(as of December 31, 1999)
10
2 Local Access Lines by City (CMA) 
(as of December 31, 1998)
10
3 ILEC Local Access Lines (1998 – 2003) 11
4 Lines Serving ILEC Customers (1998 – 2003) 11
5 Total ILEC Local Services Revenue (1998 – 2003) 11
6 CLEC Share of Total Local Access Lines 
(1998 – 2003)
12
7 CLEC Share of Total Local Services Revenue 
(1998 – 2003)
12
8 Summary of CLEC Lines and Revenue (1998 – 2000) 13
9 Line Share for ILECs and CLECs by Residential and Business Segments (1998 – 2003) 14
10 Revenue Share for ILECs and CLECs by Residential and Business Segments (1998 – 2003) 14
11 Monthly Rates for Unbundled Loops 25
12 TELUS and Bell Canada: Potential Gains and Losses 41
13 AT&T Canada Corp. Results and Forecast 
(1998 – 2000)
49
14A TELUS (ILEC) Results (1998) 56
14B TELUS (ILEC) Results and Forecast (1998 – 2000) 57
15 TELUS (ILEC) Optional Feature Penetration 
(1998 – 2000)
58
16 The Reach of the Bell Canada Family 62
17 The BCE Empire – Where Growth is Occurring 63
18 Bell Canada, Ameritech and SBC Compared 64
19 Bell Canada Results and Forecast (1998 – 2000) 73
20 Bell Canada Optional Feature Penetration 
(1998 – 2000)
74
21A Aliant Results (1998) 79
21B Aliant Results and Forecast (1998 – 2000) 80
22 Aliant Optional Feature Penetration 81
23 MTS Results and Forecast (1998 – 2000) 85
24 MTS Optional Feature Penetration (1998 – 2000) 86
25 SaskTel Results and Forecast (1998 – 2000) 90
26 SaskTel Optional Feature Penetration (1998 – 2000) 91
27 Sprint Canada – Estimated Lines in Service 
(as of December 31, 1999)
100
28 Cable Television Penetration of Canadian Homes 
(as of December 31, 1998)
148
Figures
1 Share of Business Local Lines (1998 – 2003) 15
2 Share of Residential Local Lines (1998 – 2003) 15
3 Share of Total Local Lines (1998 – 2003) 15
4 Share of Business Local Revenues (1998 – 2003) 16
5 Share of Residential Local Revenues (1998 – 2003) 16
6 Share of Total Local Revenues (1998 – 2003) 16
7 Ownership of AT&T Canada Corp. 44


About This Report

At over 160 pages, this is NBI/Michael Sone Associates’ first report on the Canadian Local Telecom Services Market. The extensive primary research that is the hallmark of all NBI reports was carried out over the past months as the local services market has evolved and developed. Information, both quantitative and qualitative, was analyzed and organized so as to provide the reader with a detailed understanding of the background, current state and probable future of the local services sector. The final product, Canadian Local Telecom Services Market Report, 1999 Edition, is the most detailed research report available on this industry.

The local services market will undergo many changes over the months to come that NBI will continue to track. This report establishes a foundation that will be built upon in future editions.

Following an introduction and definition of local services in Sections 1 and 2, NBI provides detailed quantitative data in Section 3 that identifies the size of the market, the future growth for incumbents and newcomers in both the business and residential sectors and forecasts the share of the market to be held by the various participants.

Section 4 discusses the regulatory issues germane to the industry while Section 5 looks at the options and economics of competitive local services, examining the various technologies used in its provisioning.

Section 6 outlines the relevant marketing concerns including product, pricing, customer service and bundling, and examines the role that each plays in local competition and in the broader telecom industry.

Section 7 presents the all-important Corporate Profiles that provide a wealth of qualitative and quantitative information about the companies that are already participants in the local services market as well as those who are at various stages of planning their entry. When Telecom Decision CRTC 97-8 was released on May 1, 1997 to establish the framework for competitive local services, there were many observers who believed that the Commission’s rejected of wholesale rates for resellers in favour of a facilities-based industry would limit the number of competitors because of the high capital cost of entry. Banish that thought. NBI has provided profiles on five incumbent telephone companies (ILECs) and 25 Competitive Local Exchange Carriers CLECs) or proposed CLECs. Information on an additional 12 companies that are in the very early stages of their planning is also provided.

Corporate Profiles are divided into three groups, each having unique characteristics. The first is the companies that have or are building a national network: the ILECs and their CLEC subsidiaries, AT&T Canada and Sprint Canada. The second group is arguably the most interesting: the start-ups who begin with ideas and a vision and build a business from that base. Finally come the cable-TV companies, some of which are already providing service and others that remain in the planning stages.

The report is supported by 37 comprehensive Exhibits and Figures that examine line counts, revenues, business and residential analysis, optional feature penetration, pricing and corporate relationships.

The Canadian local telecom services market is roughly the same size, in terms of annual revenue, as the long-distance market. Competition for long distance has caused major changes and exciting developments over the five years since 1994 when equal access was launched. The local services market will, in the years to come, be no less interesting.



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