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CANADIAN LOCAL TELECOM AND VoIP SERVICES MARKET REPORT

 


2007 EDITION

 

 

 

NBI/Michael Sone Associates
193 Church Street
Toronto, Ontario
M5B 1Y7
Telephone 416-360-0424
e-mail msone@nbicanada.com


December 2007

 

 


 

Table of Contents

 

Section  Page
TABLE OF CONTENTS III
LIST OF EXHIBITS IV
ABOUT THIS REPORT V
1.0 INTRODUCTION 7
2.0 LOCAL SERVICES MARKET PARTICIPANTS 9
3.0 THE LOCAL SERVICES MARKET SIZED 11
   3.1 CLARIFICATION AND DEFINITION 11
   3.2 OVERVIEW 11
   3.3 ILEC AND COMPETITOR SPECIFICS 13
   3.4 GROWTH FORECAST 13
4.0 THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT 27
   4.1 FORBEARANCE 27
   4.2 WINBACK 30
   4.3 ESSENTIAL SERVICES 32
5.0 TRENDS IN THE COMPETITIVE LOCAL MARKET 37
   5.1 RESELLERS/VOIP SERVICE PROVIDERS 37
   5.2 CABLE COMPANIES 40
   5.3 ILECS AND THEIR AFFILIATES 41
6.0 CORPORATE PROFILES 46
   6.1 ALIANT 46
   6.2 BABYTEL 53
   6.3 BELL 56
   6.4 BELL IN THE WEST 65
   6.5 COGECO 67
   6.6 EASTLINK 70
   6.7 MTS ALLSTREAM 74
   6.8 PRIMUS 81
   6.9 ROGERS 86
   6.10 SHAW 92
   6.11 TELUS 95
   6.12 TELUS IN THE EAST 103
   6.13 THINKTEL 106
   6.14 VIDÉOTRON LTD 109
   6.15 VONAGE 114

 


List of Exhibits

Exhibit Page
1.
WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY PROVINCE (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2006) 17
2.
WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY CITY (CMA) (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2006) 18
3.
PROJECTED MARKET SHARE OF WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES BY CITY (CMA) (FORECAST TO END-2007) 19
4.
ILEC WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES (2005-2010) 21
5.
LINES SERVING ILEC CUSTOMERS (2005-2010) 21
6.
TOTAL ILEC LOCAL SERVICES REVENUE (2005-2010) 21
7.
COMPETITOR SHARE OF TOTAL WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS LINES (2005-2010) 22
8.
COMPETITOR SHARE OF TOTAL WIRELINE LOCAL ACCESS REVENUE (2005-2010) 22
9.
WIRELINE RESIDENTIAL LINES & REVENUES, BY NON-ILEC COMPETITOR, (2005-2007) 22
10.
WIRELINE BUSINESS LINES & REVENUES BY NON-ILEC COMPETITOR, (2005-2007) 23
11.
WIRELINE ACCESS LINE SHARE BY SEGMENT, TOTAL MARKET, (2005-2010) 23
12.
REVENUE SHARE BY SEGMENT, TOTAL MARKET, (2005-2010) 24
13.
RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS LINE SHARE, BY PARTICIPANT, (2005-2010) 24
14.
VOIP RESIDENTIAL SUBSCRIBERS & BUSINESS LINES, BY PARTICIPANT, (2005-2010) 25
15.
VOIP RESIDENTIAL SUB & BUSINESS LINE SHARE, BY PARTICIPANT, (2005-2010) 25
16.
VOIP RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS REVENUES, BY PARTICIPANT, (2005-2010) 26
17.
ALIANT RESULTS AND FORECAST (2005-2007) 51
18.
ALIANT OPTIONAL FEATURE PENETRATION (2005-2007) 52
19.
BELL CANADA'S RESIDENTIAL AND BUSINESS BUNDLES 62
20.
BELL CANADA RESULTS AND FORECAST (2005-2007) 63
21.
BELL CANADA OPTIONAL FEATURE PENETRATION (2005-2007) 64
22.
MTS ALLSTREAM RESULTS AND FORECAST ILEC (2005-2007) 77
23.
MTS ALLSTREAM RESULTS AND FORECAST CLEC (2005-2007) 80
24.
TELUS BUSINESS AND RESIDENTIAL BUNDLES 100
25.
TELUS (ILEC) RESULTS AND FORECAST (2005- 2007) 101
26.
TELUS (ILEC ALTA. & B.C.) OPTIONAL FEATURES PENETRATION (2005-2007) 102

 


 

About This Report

 

At almost 120 pages, this is NBI/Michael Sone Associates’ seventh report on the Canadian Local Telecom Services Market. The extensive primary research that is the hallmark of all NBI/Michael Sone Associates’ reports was carried out over the past several months as the Local Services Market has undergone many changes. Information, both quantitative and qualitative, was analyzed and organized so as to provide the reader with a detailed understanding of the background, current state and probable future of the local services sector. The final product, Canadian Local Telecom and VoIP Services Market Report, 2007 Edition, is the most detailed research report available on this industry.

The local services market will experience a myriad of developments over the coming months that NBI/Michael Sone Associates will continue to track.

Following an introduction and definition of Local and VoIP services and participant sectors in Sections 1 and 2, NBI/Michael Sone Associates provides detailed quantitative data in Section 3 that measures the size of the market, the growth for incumbents and new entrants in both the business and residential sectors over a six-year period (2005 to 2010), and forecasts the share of the market by lines and revenues to be held by the various participants. Included as well are forecasts for the VoIP market, segmented by industry sector (ILEC, cableco, etc.) and by business versus consumer. (It should be noted that all reference to “lines” within the report refers to wireline local access lines unless explicitly stated otherwise.)

Section 4 discusses the regulatory issues germane to the industry while Section 5 looks at the prospects for competition trends within various industry segments, with a focus on how VoIP on the one hand and industry consolidation on the other are changing the competitive paradigm.

Section 6 presents the all-important 15 Corporate Profiles that provide a wealth of qualitative and quantitative information about the companies that are already participants in the local services market as well as those who are at various stages of planning their entry. Subjects covered include marketing strategy, product development, competitive positioning, bundles, pricing and impacts of regulatory developments.

The report is supported by 26 comprehensive Exhibits that examine line counts, revenues, business and residential analysis, bundling, and provincial and city-specific data.

 

 

 


 

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